At GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Thursday, September 7, the Kansas City Chiefs meet the Detroit Lions, beginning at 8:20 PM ET. The Chiefs should be victorious, according to our computer model -- continue scrolling to discover more tips regarding the point spread, over/under and even the final score.

The Chiefs ranked 11th in total defense last year (328.2 yards allowed per game), but they excelled on the offensive side of the ball, ranking best in the NFL with 413.6 total yards per game. The Lions struggled defensively last season, ranking fifth-worst in the NFL (25.1 points allowed per game). However, they ranked fifth-best on the offensive side of the ball, averaging 26.6 points per game.

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Chiefs vs. Lions Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Chiefs (-4.5) Under (53.5) Chiefs 30, Lions 22

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Chiefs Betting Info

  • The Chiefs have an implied moneyline win probability of 69.2% in this matchup.
  • Kansas City went 7-10-0 ATS last season.
  • The Chiefs were favored by 4.5 points or more 14 times last season, and covered the spread in five of those games.
  • Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total eight times in Kansas City games.
  • Chiefs games last season posted an average total of 49.7, which is 3.8 points fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Lions Betting Info

  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 35.7% chance of a victory for the Lions.
  • Detroit went 10-5-0 ATS last season.
  • The Lions were 3-1 ATS last season when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs.
  • Detroit and its opponent combined to go over the point total 10 out of 17 times last season.
  • Games involving the Lions last year averaged 49.0 points per game, a 4.5-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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Chiefs vs. Lions 2022 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Kansas City 29.2 21.7 25.1 19.4 32.8 23.8
Detroit 26.6 25.1 33.1 25.3 19.4 24.9

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